Sunday 16 April 2017, 16:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
33%
29%
38%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
38.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Bordeaux | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Nantes / Bordeaux | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bordeaux | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
10.0
|
7.0
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
13.6
|
8.3
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
7.7
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.0
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Nantes
5-3
Bordeaux
Oct 2021
Bordeaux
1-1
Nantes
May 2021
Nantes
3-0
Bordeaux
Aug 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Nantes
Jan 2020
Nantes
0-1
Bordeaux
Nov 2019
Bordeaux
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.