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Saturday 18 March 2017, 18:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
23% 30% 47%
Home win
22.8%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
47.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 22.8% 4.39
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Nice 47.4% 2.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.10
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 2.5 63.5% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.2% 5.82
Under 3.5 82.8% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.76
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 52.6% 1.90
Nantes / Nice 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Nice 77.2% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
14.6
10.1
4.5
1.5
0.4
1
8.9
13.5
8.4
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
4.0
5.3
3.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
3
1.1
1.5
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.