Friday 10 March 2017, 20:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
74%
18%
8%
Home win
73.8%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
7.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Caen | 7.9% | 12.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.4% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Nice / Caen | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
8.5
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.2
|
8.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.0
|
6.3
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Nice
0-1
Caen
Aug 2018
Caen
1-1
Nice
May 2018
Nice
4-1
Caen
Nov 2017
Caen
1-1
Nice
Nov 2016
Caen
1-0
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.