Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
14%
22%
64%
Home win
14.4%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
64.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Nice | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.6% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Caen / Nice | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
10.8
|
11.5
|
7.8
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.3
|
9.8
|
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.1
|
4.2
|
4.2
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Nice
0-1
Caen
Aug 2018
Caen
1-1
Nice
May 2018
Nice
4-1
Caen
Nov 2017
Caen
1-1
Nice
Mar 2017
Nice
2-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.