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Saturday 29 October 2016, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
2–0
HT 2–0
41% 31% 29%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
28.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 40.6% 2.46
Draw 30.8% 3.25
Caen 28.6% 3.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.13
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.59
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 71.4% 1.40
Nancy / Caen 69.2% 1.44
Draw / Caen 59.4% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
10.3
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.0
14.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.3
8.0
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.3
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Caen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.