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Sunday 25 September 2016, 18:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
15% 24% 60%
Home win
15.2%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
60.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 15.2% 6.56
Draw 24.5% 4.08
Nice 60.3% 1.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.27
Over 1.5 71.9% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.1% 3.56
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.21
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 39.7% 2.52
Nancy / Nice 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Nice 84.8% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
13.7
12.5
7.2
3.2
1.1
1
5.6
11.5
9.4
5.5
2.4
0.8
2
2.4
4.1
3.6
2.1
0.9
0.3
3
0.6
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.