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Saturday 17 September 2016, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
20% 22% 58%
Home win
20.0%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
57.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 20.0% 5.00
Draw 22.2% 4.51
Nantes 57.8% 1.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.46
Over 1.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.6% 6.04
Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 3.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 4.5 78.1% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.0% 1.67
No 40.0% 2.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 42.2% 2.37
Nancy / Nantes 77.8% 1.28
Draw / Nantes 80.0% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
7.8
8.6
5.9
3.0
1.3
1
4.1
10.2
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.4
2
2.7
5.5
5.6
3.9
2.0
0.8
3
1.0
2.1
2.1
1.5
0.8
0.3
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Nantes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.