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Sunday 5 February 2017, 18:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
37% 36% 26%
Home win
37.2%
Draw
36.4%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 37.2% 2.69
Draw 36.4% 2.75
Nancy 26.4% 3.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 0.5 20.6% 4.86
Over 1.5 48.9% 2.04
Under 1.5 51.1% 1.96
Over 2.5 22.2% 4.51
Under 2.5 77.8% 1.29
Over 3.5 8.2% 12.25
Under 3.5 91.8% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.5% 40.31
Under 4.5 97.5% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.2% 3.21
No 68.8% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 73.6% 1.36
Nantes / Nancy 63.6% 1.57
Draw / Nancy 62.8% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.6
13.4
5.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
1
17.1
13.6
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
8.1
5.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.