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Saturday 14 January 2017, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
42% 34% 24%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
34.4%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 41.8% 2.39
Draw 34.4% 2.91
Bastia 23.8% 4.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 0.5 18.2% 5.49
Over 1.5 52.9% 1.89
Under 1.5 47.1% 2.12
Over 2.5 25.5% 3.92
Under 2.5 74.5% 1.34
Over 3.5 10.0% 9.97
Under 3.5 90.0% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.3% 30.59
Under 4.5 96.7% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.6% 2.98
No 66.4% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 76.2% 1.31
Nancy / Bastia 65.6% 1.52
Draw / Bastia 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.2
11.6
4.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
17.3
13.6
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.4
6.7
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.2
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.