Skip to content
Saturday 10 December 2016, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
51% 28% 22%
Home win
50.7%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
21.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 50.7% 1.97
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Metz 21.5% 4.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.86
Over 1.5 69.1% 1.45
Under 1.5 30.9% 3.24
Over 2.5 42.1% 2.38
Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.4% 4.68
Under 3.5 78.6% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.1% 10.94
Under 4.5 90.9% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.18
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 78.5% 1.27
Bastia / Metz 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Metz 49.3% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
7.5
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
13.2
13.0
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.4
9.1
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
5.1
4.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.