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Saturday 19 November 2016, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
46% 26% 28%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
27.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 45.9% 2.18
Draw 26.5% 3.77
Montpellier 27.6% 3.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.80
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.23
Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.2% 3.42
Under 3.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.1% 7.07
Under 4.5 85.9% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.82
No 44.9% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 72.4% 1.38
Bastia / Montpellier 73.5% 1.36
Draw / Montpellier 54.1% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
6.9
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
9.5
12.6
6.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
8.0
9.3
5.4
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
4.2
4.9
2.8
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.6
1.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.