Friday 4 November 2016, 21:45
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
34%
28%
38%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
38.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 34.0% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Marseille | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Marseille | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
9.0
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.2
|
8.5
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
7.9
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
3.3
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Marseille
5-1
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-5
Marseille
Feb 2024
Marseille
4-1
Montpellier
Dec 2023
Montpellier
1-1
Marseille
Mar 2023
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.