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Sunday 23 October 2016, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
0–0
HT 0–0
Marseille
69% 20% 11%
Home win
68.7%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 68.7% 1.46 — —
Draw 20.0% 5.01 — —
Marseille 11.4% 8.80 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.23 — —
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27 — —
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.70 — —
Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Under 2.5 45.1% 2.22 — —
Over 3.5 32.5% 3.07 — —
Under 3.5 67.5% 1.48 — —
Over 4.5 16.5% 6.07 — —
Under 4.5 83.5% 1.20 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13 — —
No 53.0% 1.89 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 88.6% 1.13 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Marseille 80.0% 1.25 — —
Draw / Marseille 31.3% 3.19 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
3.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
11.4
9.5
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
9.5
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.0
6.8
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.8
3.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
W W L W W
Marseille
D L W D W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Marseille Sep 2025 Marseille 1-0 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Marseille Oct 2024 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2024 Marseille 0-2 Paris Saint Germain Sep 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Marseille

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.