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Saturday 1 October 2016, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
67% 20% 13%
Home win
67.2%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
13.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 67.2% 1.49
Draw 19.8% 5.06
Bordeaux 13.0% 7.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.70
Over 1.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.1% 5.53
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.7% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 4.5 80.0% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.5% 1.90
No 47.5% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 87.0% 1.15
Paris Saint Germain / Bordeaux 80.2% 1.25
Draw / Bordeaux 32.8% 3.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
3.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
9.5
9.4
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
9.8
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
3
8.2
7.2
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.6
4.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.