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Tuesday 20 September 2016, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
3–0
HT 2–0
Dijon
84% 11% 5%
Home win
84.0%
Draw
11.0%
Away win
5.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 84.0% 1.19 — —
Draw 11.0% 9.08 — —
Dijon 5.0% 19.86 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.5% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 2.5% 39.84 — —
Over 1.5 89.6% 1.12 — —
Under 1.5 10.4% 9.63 — —
Over 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Under 2.5 26.8% 3.74 — —
Over 3.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Under 3.5 47.2% 2.12 — —
Over 4.5 33.3% 3.00 — —
Under 4.5 66.7% 1.50 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06 — —
No 51.5% 1.94 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 95.0% 1.05 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Dijon 89.0% 1.12 — —
Draw / Dijon 16.0% 6.23 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.5
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
6.6
5.1
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
10.7
7.5
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.1
7.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
8.6
6.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
5.3
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
W W L D W
Dijon
L L W L D

Head to head

Feb 2021 Dijon 0-4 Paris Saint Germain Oct 2020 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Dijon Feb 2020 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Dijon Nov 2019 Dijon 2-1 Paris Saint Germain May 2019 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Dijon Mar 2019 Dijon 0-4 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.