Saturday 24 September 2016, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
41%
24%
35%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
34.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Metz | 34.5% | 2.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| No | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Metz | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
5.5
|
4.7
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
10.9
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.7
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.9
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
2.1
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2024
Montpellier
3-0
Metz
Dec 2023
Metz
0-1
Montpellier
May 2022
Montpellier
2-2
Metz
Dec 2021
Metz
1-3
Montpellier
Feb 2021
Metz
1-1
Montpellier
Dec 2020
Montpellier
0-2
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.