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Sunday 21 August 2016, 18:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
14% 77% 9%
Home win
14.4%
Draw
76.9%
Away win
8.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 14.4% 6.97
Draw 76.9% 1.30
Montpellier 8.7% 11.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 24.6% 4.07
Under 0.5 75.4% 1.33
Over 1.5 3.4% 29.27
Under 1.5 96.6% 1.04
Over 2.5 0.3% 325.73
Under 2.5 99.7% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0% 4,761.90
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 100,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 1.7% 57.44
No 98.3% 1.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 91.3% 1.10
Saint Etienne / Montpellier 23.1% 4.34
Draw / Montpellier 85.6% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
75.4
8.2
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
13.0
1.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.