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Saturday 27 August 2016, 21:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
3% 94% 4%
Home win
2.7%
Draw
93.5%
Away win
3.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 2.7% 36.48
Draw 93.5% 1.07
Rennes 3.7% 26.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 6.6% 15.17
Under 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Over 1.5 0.2% 436.68
Under 1.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 2.5 0.0% 20,000.00
Under 2.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0%
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0%
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 0.1% 862.07
No 99.9% 1.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 96.3% 1.04
Montpellier / Rennes 6.5% 15.44
Draw / Rennes 97.3% 1.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
93.4
3.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
2.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.