Saturday 1 October 2016, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
57%
24%
19%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
19.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Dijon / Montpellier | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
5.4
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
11.5
|
5.2
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Montpellier
4-2
Dijon
Sep 2020
Dijon
2-2
Montpellier
Jan 2020
Montpellier
2-1
Dijon
Dec 2019
Dijon
2-2
Montpellier
Jan 2019
Dijon
1-1
Montpellier
Aug 2018
Montpellier
1-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.