Sunday 30 October 2016, 21:45
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
46%
29%
26%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
25.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Bordeaux | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.5% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Marseille / Bordeaux | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bordeaux | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
8.3
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.5
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Bordeaux
0-1
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
2-2
Bordeaux
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Oct 2020
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
Feb 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Dec 2019
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.