Saturday 15 October 2016, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
51%
24%
25%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Caen | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Caen | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
4.9
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
11.0
|
6.5
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.0
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.8
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Montpellier
Apr 2018
Caen
1-3
Montpellier
Aug 2017
Montpellier
1-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.