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Saturday 15 October 2016, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
40% 36% 24%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
36.4%
Away win
23.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 39.9% 2.50
Draw 36.4% 2.75
Angers 23.7% 4.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.9% 1.27
Under 0.5 21.1% 4.74
Over 1.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 1.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 2.5 21.5% 4.66
Under 2.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 3.5 7.8% 12.85
Under 3.5 92.2% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.3% 42.94
Under 4.5 97.7% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.0% 3.34
No 70.0% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 76.3% 1.31
Bastia / Angers 63.6% 1.57
Draw / Angers 60.1% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.1
12.6
4.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
18.3
13.2
4.1
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
9.0
5.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
2.8
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.