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Saturday 24 September 2016, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
35% 35% 30%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
35.2%
Away win
30.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 34.8% 2.87
Draw 35.2% 2.84
Guingamp 30.0% 3.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.5% 5.42
Over 1.5 52.5% 1.90
Under 1.5 47.5% 2.11
Over 2.5 25.2% 3.97
Under 2.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 3.5 9.8% 10.18
Under 3.5 90.2% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.2% 31.46
Under 4.5 96.8% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.91
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 70.0% 1.43
Bastia / Guingamp 64.8% 1.54
Draw / Guingamp 65.2% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.5
13.7
6.0
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
15.3
14.0
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
7.3
6.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
2.2
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.