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Saturday 11 March 2017, 21:00 Stade du Roudourou Full time
5–0
HT 0–0
54% 28% 18%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
17.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp 54.1% 1.85
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Bastia 17.8% 5.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.35
Over 1.5 64.9% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.1% 2.85
Over 2.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 2.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.7% 5.64
Under 3.5 82.3% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.1% 14.14
Under 4.5 92.9% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp / Draw 82.2% 1.22
Guingamp / Bastia 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Bastia 45.9% 2.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
7.4
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.7
12.6
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
8.7
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Guingamp goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.