Saturday 4 March 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
51%
25%
24%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
24.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.6% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Guingamp | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
5.8
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
11.8
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
9.7
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
5.6
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Guingamp
Oct 2018
Guingamp
1-1
Montpellier
Feb 2018
Montpellier
1-1
Guingamp
Nov 2017
Guingamp
0-0
Montpellier
Sep 2016
Guingamp
1-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.