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Saturday 4 February 2017, 21:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
50% 27% 23%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
23.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 50.1% 2.00
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Bastia 23.0% 4.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.58
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.67
Over 2.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.79
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 77.0% 1.30
Montpellier / Bastia 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Bastia 49.9% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
7.0
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.6
12.8
5.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.6
9.4
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.0
4.9
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.