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Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
35% 36% 29%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
35.8%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 34.8% 2.87
Draw 35.8% 2.79
Marseille 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.6% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.4% 5.16
Over 1.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 1.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 2.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 2.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 3.5 9.0% 11.05
Under 3.5 91.0% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.8% 35.11
Under 4.5 97.2% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.0% 3.03
No 67.0% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 70.6% 1.42
Bastia / Marseille 64.2% 1.56
Draw / Marseille 65.2% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.4
14.0
5.8
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
15.8
13.9
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
7.4
5.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
2.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.