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Sunday 27 November 2016, 18:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
70% 22% 9%
Home win
70.0%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 70.0% 1.43
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Bastia 8.5% 11.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 9.97
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.19
Over 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.73
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.10
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.5% 2.99
No 66.6% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 91.5% 1.09
Nice / Bastia 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Bastia 30.0% 3.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
4.2
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
17.1
9.3
2.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
16.4
8.1
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
10.2
5.0
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.