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Sunday 23 October 2016, 18:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
2–4
HT 1–2
22% 30% 48%
Home win
22.0%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
47.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 22.0% 4.54
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Nice 47.7% 2.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.56
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.32
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.54
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.4% 2.48
No 59.6% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 52.3% 1.91
Metz / Nice 69.7% 1.44
Draw / Nice 78.0% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
15.3
10.4
4.5
1.5
0.4
1
9.1
13.5
8.2
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
3.9
5.0
3.2
1.4
0.5
0.1
3
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.