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Sunday 4 December 2016, 18:00 Orange Vélodrome Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
45% 35% 20%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
35.2%
Away win
19.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Marseille 45.0% 2.22
Draw 35.2% 2.84
Nancy 19.8% 5.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 0.5 20.6% 4.86
Over 1.5 48.7% 2.05
Under 1.5 51.3% 1.95
Over 2.5 22.1% 4.53
Under 2.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 3.5 8.1% 12.34
Under 3.5 91.9% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.5% 40.72
Under 4.5 97.5% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.2% 3.43
No 70.8% 1.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Marseille / Draw 80.2% 1.25
Marseille / Nancy 64.8% 1.54
Draw / Nancy 55.0% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.6
10.9
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
19.8
12.7
3.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
10.6
6.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
3.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Marseille goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.