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Saturday 5 November 2016, 18:00 Stade Louis II Full time
6–0
HT 2–0
83% 12% 6%
Home win
82.7%
Draw
11.7%
Away win
5.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 82.7% 1.21
Draw 11.7% 8.55
Nancy 5.6% 17.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 37.94
Over 1.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.8% 9.28
Over 2.5 72.5% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.5% 3.63
Over 3.5 51.8% 1.93
Under 3.5 48.2% 2.08
Over 4.5 32.4% 3.08
Under 4.5 67.6% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.4% 2.02
No 50.6% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 94.4% 1.06
Monaco / Nancy 88.3% 1.13
Draw / Nancy 17.3% 5.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
1.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
6.8
5.4
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
10.7
7.8
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.8
7.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
8.2
6.0
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
5.0
3.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.