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Saturday 19 November 2016, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
35% 30% 35%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
35.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 34.6% 2.89
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Dijon 35.5% 2.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.27
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.2% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.97
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.89
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.6% 2.10
No 52.4% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 64.5% 1.55
Nancy / Dijon 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Dijon 65.4% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
10.8
6.7
2.6
0.8
0.2
1
10.6
14.0
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.5
7.6
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.5
2.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.