Saturday 17 February 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
46%
30%
24%
Home win
46.2%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
24.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Guingamp | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
13.6
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
8.5
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Guingamp
Oct 2018
Guingamp
1-1
Montpellier
Nov 2017
Guingamp
0-0
Montpellier
Mar 2017
Montpellier
1-1
Guingamp
Sep 2016
Guingamp
1-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.