Saturday 20 January 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
46%
32%
22%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
22.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.3% | 7.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.8% | 21.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Toulouse | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.1
|
9.9
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
13.6
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
7.7
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse
May 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2023
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Apr 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Oct 2022
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.