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Saturday 10 February 2018, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
34% 29% 37%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
37.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 33.7% 2.97
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Montpellier 37.4% 2.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.62
Over 1.5 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Under 2.5 55.7% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.2% 4.32
Under 3.5 76.8% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.80
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.6% 1.98
No 49.4% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 62.6% 1.60
Metz / Montpellier 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Montpellier 66.3% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
10.1
6.9
2.9
0.9
0.2
1
9.5
13.7
8.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.1
7.7
4.8
2.0
0.6
0.2
3
2.4
3.0
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.