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Saturday 27 January 2018, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
24% 26% 49%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
49.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 24.3% 4.11
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Nice 49.3% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.89
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 4.00
Over 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.6% 3.63
Under 3.5 72.4% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.0% 7.68
Under 4.5 87.0% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.7% 1.90
No 47.3% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 50.7% 1.97
Metz / Nice 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Nice 75.7% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
10.5
9.0
4.8
1.9
0.6
1
6.7
12.6
9.5
5.1
2.0
0.6
2
3.9
6.3
5.0
2.7
1.1
0.3
3
1.4
2.2
1.8
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.