Sunday 21 January 2018, 18:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
91%
7%
3%
Home win
90.7%
Draw
6.8%
Away win
2.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 6.8% | 14.78 | — | — |
| Metz | 2.5% | 39.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.5% | 68.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.7% | 14.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Monaco / Metz | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 9.3% | 10.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
5.5
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.3
|
6.9
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.5
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.9
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Sep 2025
Monaco
5-2
Metz
Mar 2024
Metz
2-5
Monaco
Oct 2023
Monaco
2-1
Metz
Apr 2022
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Dec 2021
Monaco
4-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.