Tuesday 16 January 2018, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
75%
16%
10%
Home win
74.8%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
9.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.7% | 6.38 | — | — |
| Nice | 9.5% | 10.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Monaco / Nice | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
7.2
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.0
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
8.0
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.1
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nice
0-0
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
2-2
Nice
Mar 2025
Monaco
2-1
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
2-1
Monaco
Feb 2024
Nice
2-3
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
0-1
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.