Saturday 27 January 2018, 21:00
Stade de Roudourou
Full time
44%
31%
26%
Home win
43.6%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
25.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Nantes | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Nantes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
9.8
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
13.9
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.1
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Nantes
Nov 2018
Nantes
5-0
Guingamp
Oct 2017
Nantes
2-1
Guingamp
May 2017
Nantes
4-1
Guingamp
Dec 2016
Guingamp
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.