Saturday 4 February 2017, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
61%
23%
17%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
16.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Caen | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Caen | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
4.7
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
10.8
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Caen
Oct 2018
Caen
0-0
Guingamp
Feb 2018
Guingamp
0-0
Caen
Dec 2017
Caen
0-0
Guingamp
Nov 2016
Caen
1-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.