Sunday 15 January 2017, 18:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
24%
24%
52%
Home win
24.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
51.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 24.4% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Lyon | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Caen / Lyon | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
8.1
|
8.0
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.2
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.4
|
5.9
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.6
|
2.4
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Lyon
4-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Lyon
Mar 2018
Lyon
1-0
Caen
Dec 2017
Caen
1-2
Lyon
Aug 2016
Lyon
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.