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Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
62% 22% 16%
Home win
62.1%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
15.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 62.1% 1.61
Draw 22.0% 4.54
Rennes 15.9% 6.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.80
Over 1.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.5% 4.89
Over 2.5 56.0% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.6% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.4% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.2% 5.80
Under 4.5 82.8% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.6% 1.90
No 47.4% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 84.1% 1.19
Lyon / Rennes 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Rennes 37.9% 2.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
4.3
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
10.2
10.5
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.8
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
7.2
6.6
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.6
3.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.5
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.