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Tuesday 29 November 2016, 20:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
29% 30% 41%
Home win
28.8%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
40.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 28.8% 3.47
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Rennes 40.9% 2.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.58
Over 1.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.2% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.5% 5.42
Under 3.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.39
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.3% 2.21
No 54.7% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 59.1% 1.69
Lorient / Rennes 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Rennes 71.2% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
12.6
8.2
3.4
1.0
0.3
1
10.0
14.0
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
5.3
6.5
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
1.8
2.2
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.