Friday 18 November 2016, 20:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
10%
15%
75%
Home win
10.3%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
74.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 10.3% | 9.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.9% | 6.71 | — | — |
| Monaco | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.4% | 42.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.5% | 10.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Lorient / Monaco | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.4
|
5.4
|
8.3
|
7.9
|
5.7
|
3.3
|
| 1 |
1.7
|
6.3
|
8.6
|
8.2
|
5.9
|
3.4
|
| 2 |
1.1
|
3.1
|
4.4
|
4.3
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Monaco
1-3
Lorient
Sep 2025
Lorient
3-1
Monaco
Mar 2024
Monaco
2-2
Lorient
Sep 2023
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
Apr 2023
Monaco
3-1
Lorient
Jan 2023
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.