Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
66%
22%
11%
Home win
66.4%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
11.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Lorient | 11.4% | 8.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.8% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Lorient | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
10.3
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Bordeaux
0-0
Lorient
Oct 2021
Lorient
1-1
Bordeaux
Apr 2021
Lorient
4-1
Bordeaux
Jan 2021
Bordeaux
2-1
Lorient
May 2017
Lorient
1-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.