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Sunday 30 October 2016, 18:00 Roazhon Park Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
56% 25% 19%
Home win
56.0%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
19.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes 56.0% 1.79
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Metz 19.1% 5.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.06
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.02
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.60
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.61
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes / Draw 80.9% 1.24
Rennes / Metz 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Metz 44.1% 2.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
5.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
11.5
11.9
5.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.6
9.7
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.1
5.6
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.7
2.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.