Friday 18 November 2016, 21:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
36%
27%
37%
Home win
35.8%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
37.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Lyon | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Lille / Lyon | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
8.3
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
12.9
|
8.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.2
|
5.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
3.7
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
1-0
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
0-1
Lyon
Apr 2025
Lyon
2-1
Lille
Nov 2024
Lille
1-1
Lyon
May 2024
Lille
3-4
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
0-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.