Saturday 22 October 2016, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
44%
31%
26%
Home win
43.8%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
25.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Lyon / Guingamp | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
9.7
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
13.9
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
8.2
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Nov 2018
Guingamp
2-4
Lyon
Jan 2018
Guingamp
0-2
Lyon
Sep 2017
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Feb 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.