Sunday 2 October 2016, 21:45
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
35%
27%
38%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
37.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Lyon / Saint Etienne | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
8.7
|
6.5
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.1
|
8.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.0
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.5
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Saint Etienne
2-1
Lyon
Nov 2024
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Jan 2022
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Oct 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lyon
Jan 2021
Saint Etienne
0-5
Lyon
Nov 2020
Lyon
2-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.