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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
25% 34% 41%
Home win
24.7%
Draw
34.1%
Away win
41.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 24.7% 4.04
Draw 34.1% 2.93
Saint Etienne 41.1% 2.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.4% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.6% 5.67
Over 1.5 53.9% 1.85
Under 1.5 46.1% 2.17
Over 2.5 26.4% 3.79
Under 2.5 73.6% 1.36
Over 3.5 10.6% 9.47
Under 3.5 89.4% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.5% 28.56
Under 4.5 96.5% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.6% 2.89
No 65.4% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 58.9% 1.70
Nantes / Saint Etienne 65.9% 1.52
Draw / Saint Etienne 75.3% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.6
16.8
9.1
3.2
0.8
0.2
1
11.7
13.8
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
4.6
4.8
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.